Recommended articles for this weekend: Risk Management

1. Everything You Need to Know About Recessions (Visual Capitalist).
2. What Will Cause The Next Recession? Yield-Curve Inversion Is Sending a Message. The question is whether it’s saying anything meaningful about the odds of recession (The Big Picture).
3. Supply chain risk management is back. The world is getting riskier—and the most advanced supply-chain leaders are getting smarter about risk. Is your supply chain risk-ready? (McKinsey).
4. A Call for Vigilance After a Strong Year for Risky Assets: While we have seen some recent volatility, many risky asset markets around the world had a spectacular year in 2019. Equity market indices were up just over 30 percent in the United States, close to 25 percent in Europe and China, and over 15 percent in emerging markets and Japan. Emerging-market sovereign debt, U.S. high-yield debt, and emerging-market corporate debt all had returns in excess of 12 percent. Remarkably, the fourth quarter of 2019 was especially strong in China and in emerging markets (IMF Blog).
5. Capital flows at risk: Taming the ebbs and flows. Capital flows to emerging markets have continued to be highly volatile since the Global Crisis. This article show that country characteristics and policy responses matter for risks to future capital flows. It finds that good institutions support stable capital flows over the medium horizon, and while foreign exchange interventions seem to help mitigate downside risks to inflows caused by worsening global conditions, a tightening of capital flow measures in response to an adverse global shock is found to be counterproductive (VOXEU).
6. Stress testing in Latin America: A comparison of approaches and methodologies (BIS).
7. Enhanced cyberrisk reporting: Opening doors to risk-based cybersecurity. The relevance of risk management and reporting (McKinsey).